Communication of Uncertainty in Spatial Data to Policy Makers
نویسنده
چکیده
There is increasing interest in the spatial aspects of many policy decisions. To be valid decision-malung tools it is important that maps not only convey what is known, but also where the uncertainties lie. This paper reports the results of tests conducted to assess the ability of various methods of error representation to accurately assist interpretation of maps. The work uses the predicted surface and associated error surface (both generated by a kriging function) to test the ability of prospective and current users to interpret the data presented, and to draw simple logical conclusions about it. The ultimate aim is to study the effect of user perception of accuracy on the real-life decisions made using interpolated spatial data.
منابع مشابه
Stock Market Uncertainty and the Analysis of Monetary Policy shock
Policy makers impose policies to improve economy circumstance in order to achieve economic goals. However, the consequence of these policies along with the intended goals will also influence expectations, fluctuations, etc., and cause changes in levels of uncertainty. The important role of the stock market in the economy, makes it important to examine its uncertainty and its interaction with mo...
متن کاملSocial Value of Information and Optimal Communication Policy of Central Banks
Monetary policy as a tool for expectations management is believed to be most effective if it can coordinate the beliefs and expectations of the economic agents. The optimal communication policy is in an environment where central bank announcements are common knowledge and abundant information is complete transparency. The above conclusion is altered in the more realistic situation where economi...
متن کاملSeparating Variability and Uncertainty in Exposure Assessment: Motivations and Method
INTRODUCTION Nearly all analyses of environmental problems are confronted with uncertainty. However, current practices within the regulatory community do not adequately deal with uncertainty. These practices often place emphasis on post-hoc qualitative approaches to caveating uncertainties. In contrast, a quantitative approach is proposed as the most appropriate way to deal with uncertainties. ...
متن کاملGovernment and Central Bank Interaction under Uncertainty: A Differential Games Approach
Abstract Today, debt stabilization in an uncertain environment is an important issue. In particular, the question how fiscal and monetary authorities should deal with this uncertainty is of much importance. Especially for some developing countries such as Iran, in which on average 60 percent of government revenues comes from oil, and consequently uncertainty about oil prices has a large effec...
متن کاملSpatial Analysis of Dry Valley Floods in Salah Al-Din Governorate and Ramadan Valley
Flash floods are considered to be one the worst kind of hazard. They are characterized by their suddenness, rarity, small scale, heavy rain and peak discharge, unpredictable, fast and violent movement. It has severe effects on human society in the form life losses, damages to property, roads, communication and on natural settings. Advances in hydrology, meteorology, engineering, using of GIS an...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2010